技术一体化的可持续发展:风险状况和机会评估

А. E. Miller
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摘要

文章重点论述了科学可持续发展观在危机中技术整合的发展成果。拟议的风险情况下可持续发展方法揭示了技术一体化的目标和目的,确定风险情况的组织和管理程序,以及在动态外部环境中形成风险领域的方法基础。所提议的方法的显著特点是将风险情况的分类因素系统化,确保有可能将风险事件归因于违反可持续发展的因素。提出的概念发展了可持续发展新古典理论的基本要素,它允许将风险事件视为可持续发展的威胁和条件。在实际执行技术一体化可持续发展方法的框架内,有理由对风险领域进行改造,从而尽可能减少可能的损失。因此,有必要在确定风险情况的定量方法的基础上制定一种方法学方法。定量方法的优点是能够将风险情况的结果形式化,并评估其对技术一体化可持续发展的影响。对风险情况进行量化的好处是:1)有可能对风险情况所造成的损失或利润进行量化,这可能成为制定管理技术一体化可持续发展程序的目标;2)识别需要快速反应的风险因素的概率高;3)各类风险因素对技术一体化可持续发展的影响程度较高;4)为风险情况下技术整合参与者的可持续行为的合理选择的发展奠定基础的可能性。
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SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF TECHNOLOGICAL INTEGRATION: RISK SITUATIONS AND ASSESSMENT OF OPPORTUNITIES
"The article focuses on the results of the development of the scientific concept of sustainable development of technological integration in crises. The proposed methodology of sustainable development in risk situations reveals goals and objectives of technological integration, the organizational and managerial procedure for identifying risk situations, and methodological foundations for the formation of risk areas in a dynamic external environment. The distinctive feature of the proposed methodology is the systematization of the classification factors of risk situations, ensuring the possibility of attributing risk events to factors that violate sustainable development. The proposed concept develops basic elements of the neoclassical theory of sustainable development, which allows considering risk events both as threats and as conditions for sustainable development. Within the framework of the practical implementation of the methodology for the sustainable development of technological integration, there is justified transformation of risk areas, which allows minimizing possible losses as much as possible. This makes it necessary to develop a methodological approach, based on quantitative methods for identifying risk situations. The advantage of the quantitative method is the ability to formalize the results of risk situations and assess their impact on the sustainable development of technological integration. The advantages of quantifying a risk situation are: 1) the possibility of quantifying the amount of loss or profit from the action of a risk situation, which may become the object of developing a procedure for managing the sustainable development of technological integration; 2) a high probability of identifying risk factors that require a rapid response; 3) a high degree of influence of various risk factors on the sustainable development of technological integration; 4) the possibility of preparing the basis for the development of rational options for sustainable behavior of participants in technological integration in a risk situation. "
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