戈列斯坦省失业保险诊断

mohammad Sharif Sharifzadeh, G. Abdollahzadeh, M. Rahbari
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摘要

本研究旨在诊断戈列斯坦省失业保险申请人(索赔人)总数增加的原因,以寻求现实的解决办法。从数据收集的角度来看,本研究是基于实地的,在控制变量方面是非实验研究,在目的方面是应用研究。定量和定性数据收集工具分别为访谈和问卷调查。这项研究在2017年和2018年分两个主要阶段进行。在第一阶段,采用德尔菲面板技术确定戈列斯坦省失业保险申请人数增加的原因和解决方案;在第二阶段,采用层次分析法和TOPSYS技术对第一阶段确定的原因和解决方案进行定量评估和优先级排序。AHP结果显示,“商业环境”、“责任机构”、“雇主”和“申请人”四个因素对增加失业保险意愿的影响最大。考虑到这四个标准,失业保险申请增加的最重要原因是:"市场波动导致制造业和工业(如建筑业)停滞和失业"、"劳动力市场失衡(劳动力供过于求造成的劳动力通胀)"、"官方最低工资未发放(实际工资与失业保险支付之间的差距)"和"本省活跃企业的经济能力有限(就业能力低)"。为了准确地评价确定的失业保险解决办法,考虑了“经济可行性”、“环境可行性”、“行政可行性”和“体制适当性”四个标准(按照一般规则和条例)的重要性。考虑到这四个标准,失业保险优化管理最重要的解决方案是:“审查领取失业保险金的条件和机制,防止工人与雇主勾结”,“为省的工业发展吸引外商投资”,“与企业合作培训工人的工作纪律和良心”,“加强劳动关系领域”。
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Diagnosing Unemployment Insurance in the Golestan Province
This research aimed to diagnose the reason to increase in the total number of unemployment insurance applicants (claimants) in the Golestan province in order to find realistic solutions. From the perspective of data collection, this research is a field-based, in terms of controlling variables is non-experimental research and with regard to purpose is applied research. Quantitative and qualitative data collection tools were interview and questionnaire, respectively. This research was conducted in two main phases during 2017 and 2018. In the first phase, a Delphi panel technique is used to identify the causes and solutions of the increase of unemployment insurance applicants in Golestan province and in the second phase, the AHP and TOPSYS techniques were used for quantitative assessment and prioritization of identified causes and solutions in the first phase. The results of the AHP showed that four factors of "business milieu", "responsible institutions", "employers" and "applicants", have the most importance in increasing the willingness of unemployed insurance . Considering these four criteria, the most important reasons for rising request for unemployment insurance are: "market fluctuations with stagnation in manufacturing and industry (such as construction) and job losses", "labor market imbalance (Labor force inflation as a result of supply over demand for labor force), "the non-payment of the minimum official wage (the gap between the actual wage and unemployment insurance payout)," and "the limited economic ability of active enterprises in the province (low employment capacity)". In order to accurately assess the solutions identified for unemployment insurance, four criteria of "economic feasibility" and then, "environmental feasibility", "administrative feasibility" and "institutional appropriateness" (in accordance with the general rules and regulations) in order of importance was considered . considering these four criteria, the most important solutions for optimal management of unemployment insurance are: "reviewing the conditions and mechanism for receiving unemployment insurance compensation for preventing collusion between the worker and the employer", "recruiting foreign investments for industrial development of the province", "training workers on work discipline and conscience in cooperation with business enterprises" and "strengthening the field of labor relations " .
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