沙特能源系统中季节性天然气储存的可行性

Walid Matar, Rami Shabaneh
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引用次数: 11

摘要

我们评估了沙特阿拉伯地下天然气储存在不同情景下的地质和经济可行性:允许和不允许进口液化天然气,以及国内天然气产量低和高。在沙特王国,枯竭的油田或含水层最适合储存天然气。使用国家能源系统的模型,我们表明,在天然气产量高的情况下,将建立储存能力,以绕过天然气运输限制,用于夏季发电。在低产量的情况下,天然气储存将促进全年各部门之间的最佳天然气使用。净现值收益——定义为年度收益和成本差异的折现总和——用于确定天然气储存的经济可行性。总的来说,在高天然气供应的情况下,天然气储存将在整个能源系统中带来近9亿美元的正收益。由于天然气供应不足,上游部门的天然气储存成本将超过其他部门实现的低成本收益。结果表明,储气设施只有在国内天然气产量高的情况下才有利。如果产量被证明是低的,进口液化天然气将是更明智的选择。
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Viability of Seasonal Natural Gas Storage in the Saudi Energy System
Abstract We assess the geological and economic viability of underground natural gas storage in Saudi Arabia under different scenarios: with and without LNG imports allowed, and under low and high domestic gas production. Depleted oil fields or aquifers are best suited for gas storage in the Kingdom. Using a model of the country's energy system, we show that in the case of high gas production, storage capacity would be built to bypass the gas transport limit for use in electricity generation in the summer. In the low production case, gas storage would facilitate optimal gas use among sectors throughout the year. The net present gain – defined as the discounted sum of the annual differences in benefits and costs – is used to determine the economic viability of gas storage. Overall, gas storage in the high gas supply case would deliver a positive gain of nearly 900 million dollars throughout the energy system. With low gas supply, the cost of gas storage for the upstream sector would exceed the benefit of lower costs realized in other sectors. The results indicate that gas storage installations are only favorable in the case of high domestic gas production. If production turns out to be low, LNG imports would instead be more sensible.
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