央行治理与储备组合投资政策:实证分析

D. Klingebiel, Carmen M. Herrero Montes, Marco Ruíz, James K. Seward
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文利用105家央行的独特调查数据集,探讨央行外汇储备投资组合的投资政策是否与外汇储备管理的治理安排相关联。本文评估了央行的投资决策结构是否会影响机构在储备管理操作中承担的风险程度和储备组合的多样性水平。此外,它还探讨了更广泛的治理环境对储备管理的影响。分析得出了四个关键发现。首先,内部治理安排对外汇储备组合投资政策至关重要;实证结果表明,中办直接向董事会汇报的央行,其储备组合更加多元化。其次,考虑到储备水平、宏观环境和更广泛的治理环境,央行的储备组合更加多样化,因为央行的后、中、前台是分开的。第三,回归分析还显示,在财政部有义务覆盖负资产的国家,央行拥有的合格货币较少,因此多元化程度较低。第四,董事会积极实施投资组合监管的央行,其投资组合通常风险更大、更多样化。拥有更长的投资期限、更多的货币和更广泛的资产类别的投资组合在限制下行风险的同时,历史上表现更好。鉴于分析控制了更广泛的治理环境,数据表明,无论外部治理环境如何,任何一家央行都可以改善其内部治理。本文对中央银行外汇储备管理和理解治理安排在投资政策中的重要性的文献有所贡献。
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Central Bank Governance and Reserve Portfolios Investment Policies: An Empirical Analysis
This paper uses a unique survey data set of 105 central banks to investigate whether investment policies for central bank foreign reserve portfolios are linked to the governance arrangements for reserve management. The paper evaluates whether a central bank's investment decision-making structure impacts how much risk institutions take in their reserve management operations and the level of diversity in their reserve portfolios. Additionally, it explores the implications of the broader governance environment on reserve management. The analysis yields four key findings. First, internal governance arrangements matter for foreign reserve portfolio investment policy; the empirical results indicate that reserve portfolios are more diversified in central banks in which the middle office directly reports to the board. Second, controlling for the level of reserves, the macroenvironment, and the broader governance environment, reserve portfolios are more diversified in central banks where the back, middle, and front offices are separated. Third, the regression analysis also reveals that central banks in countries where the Ministry of Finance has an obligation to cover negative equity have fewer eligible currencies and are therefore less diversified. Fourth, central banks where boards actively exercise portfolio oversight usually have portfolios with more risk and diversification. Portfolios with longer investment horizons, more currencies, and a broader set of asset classes have performed better historically while limiting downside risk. Given that the analysis controls the broader governance environment, the data indicate that any central bank can improve its internal governance regardless of the external governance environment. This paper contributes to the literature on central bank foreign reserves management and on understanding the importance of governance arrangements in investment policy.
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