用支持向量回归机预测印尼连锁餐厅日客流量及菜单需求

Makmur A. Zhào, R. Jayadi
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引用次数: 3

摘要

需求波动是餐馆日常经营选择的一个关键因素。本研究的目的是利用多元回归和支持向量回归机(SVR)算法来预测餐厅的菜单需求,并利用销售点(POS)数据来预测潜在的游客和菜单需求。提出了一个预测特定商店需求的模型,该模型考虑了季节性、公共假日和订单高峰时间等变量。使用基本餐厅数据的模型验证表明,SVR在预测餐厅客人时将产生低至14.84%的百分比误差,在预测餐厅菜单需求时将产生31.2%的百分比误差。结果表明,这种方法对于预测收入和消费者数量是实用的,同时也表明管理者将了解影响客户行为的变量。对连锁餐厅经营中的预测与计划管理进行了广泛的讨论和建议。
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Forecasting Daily Visitors and Menu Demands in an Indonesian Chain Restaurant using Support Vector Regression Machine
Demand fluctuation is a critical factor in the everyday operating choices made by a restaurant. The aim of this study is to investigate menu demand forecasting in restaurants using Multiple Regression and Support Vector Regression Machine (SVR) algorithms to forecast potential visitors and menu demand using point-of-sale (POS) data. A model for predicting store-specific demand is proposed that takes into account variables such as seasonality, public holidays, and order peak times. The model's verification using fundamental restaurant data demonstrates that SVR will produce a percentage error of as low as 14.84 percent when forecasting restaurant guests and 31.2 percent when predicting restaurant menu demand. The results demonstrate that this approach is practical for forecasting revenue and consumer counts, as well as demonstrating that managers will learn about the variables that influence customer behaviors. There are extensive discussions and suggestions for potential studies on predicting and planning management in chain restaurant operations.
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