货币、黄金、石油对股票价格的影响,以及作为可变干预变量的通货膨胀

Fitri Yusnita, Indah Khairunnisa, Peny Cahaya Azwari
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摘要

股票的价值受到多种因素的影响,包括汇率的变化、黄金和石油价格的波动以及通货膨胀水平的波动。这些因素也会导致市场波动。本研究的目的是调查影响股票价格的因素,包括通货膨胀、印尼盾汇率以及全球黄金和石油价格。目的抽样与辅助数据一起作为分析工具。根据本文提供的数据,汇率与黄金价格之间存在统计学上显著的负相关关系;黄金价格与股票价格之间也存在统计学上显著的相似关系;股票价格与全球油价之间没有统计学上显著的关系;股票价格与通货膨胀之间存在显著的正相关关系。汇率对股价的积极影响和黄金价格对股价的消极影响都是由通货膨胀调节的。相反,黄金价格对股票价格有积极影响。此外,国际市场上的石油价格对通货膨胀有相当大的积极影响。石油价格和股票市场价值之间存在相关性,但通货膨胀在这种关系中并不是一个调节因素。关键词:库尔斯,黄金,石油,股价,通货膨胀
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PENGARUH KURS, EMAS, MINYAK TERHADAP HARGA SAHAM DENGAN INFLASI SEBAGAI VARIABEL INTERVENING
The value of stocks is affected by a variety of factors, including changes in exchange rates, swings in the price of gold and oil, and fluctuating levels of inflation. These factors also contribute to market volatility. This study's objective is to investigate the factors that have an effect on stock prices, including inflation, the rate of the rupiah currency, and worldwide prices for gold and oil. Purposive sampling is utilized in conjunction with secondary data as the analytical instrument. According to the data that has been presented in this article, there is a statistically significant and negative relationship between the exchange rate and gold prices; there is also a statistically significant and similar relationship between gold prices and stock prices; there is no statistically significant relationship between stock prices and global oil prices; and there is a statistically significant and positive relationship between stock prices and inflation. Both the positive impact of exchange rates on stock prices and the negative influence of gold prices on stock prices are mediated by inflation. Conversely, gold prices have a positive influence on stock prices. Additionally, the price of oil on international markets has a considerable and positively significant impact on inflation. There is a correlation between the price of oil and the value of the stock market, but inflation is not a moderating factor in this relationship. Keywords: Kurs, Gold, Oil, Stock Price, Inflation
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