中国新股东的多项式适应度模拟

Deng Wei, Shao Xiaoyi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文研究了中国股票市场新股民数量与股票指数之间的关系。分析了投资者的行为特征,构建了基于五次、九次、十一次多项式适应度的投资金额预测模型。通过与实际数据的比较,采用多项式模拟的方法对模型的适应度进行了检验,验证了数据的敏感性。仿真结果证明了该方法的有效性。
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Polynomial Fitness Simulation of Chinese New Stockholders
This paper studies the relationship between amounts of new stockholders and share index in Chinese stock market. We analyze behavior characters of investors, construct a model to forecast the amounts based on polynomial fitness such as quintic, nine times’, eleven times’ polynomial fitness ordinally. Comparing with factual data, we apply polynomial simulation method to review the fitness of model, and confirm sensitivities of thedata. The result proves the validity of the simulation method.
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