评估气候变化对广宁省Ha Tu煤矿的影响

T. Tran, H. Pham, H. M. Nguyen
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摘要

总体而言,气候变化一直在影响广宁省的社会经济生活,特别是许多公司的煤炭开采活动,其中包括哈图煤炭股份公司。本研究采用收集、综合、统计、实地调查、公众咨询等方法,对研究区过去气候条件及气候变化对煤矿的影响进行了评价。2015年暴雨引发的山体滑坡环境事件使河流和溪流被填满,基础设施遭到破坏。根据广宁省2100年(B2)气候变化情景,与1980÷1999时期相比,区域气温将升高2.50℃,降雨量将增加7.3%。该研究预测了未来气候变化对采矿作业的潜在影响,如山体滑坡、洪水、地质灾害、地下水位下降和矿区地表沉降的风险增加。预测结果表明,开采深度越大,受地下水位下降影响的半径越大,与矿区相比可达2.4 km。此外,气温升高将是造成生产活动困难、影响工人身体健康、矿山环境复垦恢复进程减慢、水电成本增加等因素之一。该研究还提出了若干技术和管理解决方案,以便在气候变化对哈图煤矿产生影响之前降低风险并应对环境事件,实现可持续发展。
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Assessing the impact of climate change on Ha Tu coal mine, Quang Ninh province
Climate change has been affecting the socio-economic life of Quang Ninh province in general, and the coal mining activities of many companies, including Ha Tu Coal Joint Stock Company in particular. By the methods of collection, synthesis, statistics, field survey, and public consultation, this study has evaluated the climate condition of the study region and the impact of climate change on the coal mines in the past. The environmental incident of landslides caused by heavy rain in 2015 has filled rivers and streams and destroyed infrastructure. According to the scenario of climate change for Quang Ninh province by 2100 (B2), the regional temperature will increase by 2.50C, and the rainfall will increase by 7.3% compared to the period 1980÷1999. The study predicted the potential impacts of climate change on mining operations in the future such as the increased risk of landslides, floods, geological hazards, the drawdown of groundwater levels, and subsidence of the ground surface at the mining site. By the forecast results, the larger the mining depth is, the higher the radius affected by the lowering of the groundwater level will become, which can be up to 2.4 km compared to the mining area. In addition, the increase in temperature will be one of the factors that cause difficulties for production activities, affect the health of workers, slow down the process of reclamation and restoration of the mine environment, and increase electricity and water costs, etc. The study also proposed several technical and management solutions to reduce the risk and respond to environmental incidents before the impact of climate change on the Ha Tu coal mine towards sustainable development.
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