使用决策网络的软件项目管理

Thitaree Noothong, D. Sutivong
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引用次数: 5

摘要

贝叶斯网络支持软件项目中的资源分配,也有助于分析资源之间的权衡。该模型在给定不完整数据的情况下预测每个变量的概率分布。尽管贝叶斯网络方便地促进了基于场景的分析,但它们不支持在多准则决策中找到最优解。本文提出将贝叶斯网络扩展到决策网络中,以优化组织目标和处理软件项目管理的多准则环境。具体来说,决策网络用于在软件成本和质量约束下寻找最优的软件活动集。初步结果表明,贝叶斯网络可以很容易地扩展到决策网络,从而允许优化。该方法提供了一个灵活的过程,可以利用贝叶斯网络中的编码知识来促进决策,这可以应用于其他问题领域
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Software Project Management Using Decision Networks
The Bayesian networks support resource allocation in software project and also help in analyzing trade-offs among resources. The model predicts the probability distribution of every variable given incomplete data. Even though the Bayesian networks conveniently facilitate scenario-based analysis, they do not support finding an optimal solution in multi-criteria decision making. This paper proposes extending the Bayesian networks into the decision networks to optimize an organizational target and to handle the multi-criteria environment of software project management. Specifically, the decision networks are used to find an optimal set of software activities under constraints of software cost and quality. The preliminary results demonstrate that the Bayesian networks can be easily extended into the decision networks, which then allow for optimization. The proposed methodology provides a flexible process for utilizing the encoded knowledge within the Bayesian networks to facilitate decision making, which could be applicable in other domains of problems
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