货币过度扩张:为什么人民币不会成为下一个全球货币

W. Wong
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摘要

在二十一世纪的头二十年里,中华人民共和国经历了巨大的增长,成为世界第二大经济体。随着这种崛起,中国已采取措施扩大其经济实力和海外影响力。中国追求这一目标的方式之一,是推动人民币成为美元的替代品。自第二次世界大战结束以来,美元一直是国际货币。通过各种范式分析中国经济的特点,本文将认为,尽管中国政府尽了最大努力,人民币在不久的将来不太可能取代美元成为第一货币。
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Monetary Overextension: Why the Chinese Yuan will not become the next Global Currency
In the first two decades of the twenty-first century, the People’s Republic of China has experienced massive growth to become the world’s second largest economy. Along with this rise, China has taken steps to expand its economic power and influence overseas. One of the ways it has pursued this is to promote the Chinese Renminbi as an alternative to the US Dollar, which has served as the international currency since the end of the Second World War. By analyzing the features of the Chinese economy through various paradigms, this paper will argue that, despite the best efforts of the Chinese government, the RMB will be unlikely to displace the USD as the premier currency in the near future.
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