最优通货膨胀、平均加价和不对称粘性价格

Wojtek Paczos
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摘要

在最先进的新凯恩斯模型中,企业是垄断竞争的,价格是粘性的。然而,垄断竞争产生的平均加价通常被生产补贴或零通胀稳定状态所抵消。此外,在开放经济的模型中,假设两国的价格粘性水平相同。本文研究了两国模型下的最优通货膨胀率,该模型保持平均加价并允许各国之间的价格粘性不同。控制最佳通货膨胀率的渠道有两个。首先,对于本国货币,部分通货膨胀税是强加给外国的,因此通货膨胀是最理想的。其次,平均加价构成了持有货币的成本,因此最理想的做法是贬值,以补偿这一成本。本文有四个新发现:1)在本币制度下,第一动机占主导地位,最优通货膨胀是正的。2)在货币联盟中,第一个动机不存在,最优通胀为负,低于弗里德曼规则。3)即使两个国家的粘性不同,货币联盟也能改善全球福利。然而,当这种差异很大时,只有一个国家(粘性较高的国家)从一体化中受益。4)货币联盟可以改善两国的福利,如果从较粘的国家向较灵活的国家转移(取决于参数)其GDP的2%。
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Optimal Inflation, Average Markups and Asymmetric Sticky Prices
In state-of-the-art New Keynesian model firms are monopolistically competitive and prices are sticky. However, the average markup resulting from the monopolistic competition is usually assumed away either by production subsidy or by the zero-inflation steady state. Also, in models of an open economy the same level of price stickiness is assumed for both countries. In this paper I study the optimal rate of inflation in a two country model keeping the average markup and allowing price stickiness to differ between countries. There are two channels that govern the optimal rate of inflation. First, with local currencies an inflation tax is partly imposed on the foreign country, so it is optimal to inflate. Second, the average markup constitutes a cost of holding money so it is optimal to deflate, to compensate this cost. The paper has four novel findings: 1) in the local currencies regime the first motive dominates and the optimal inflation is positive. 2) In a monetary union the first motive is absent and the optimal inflation is negative and below the Friedman rule. 3) A monetary union improves global welfare even when stickiness is different in two countries. However, when this difference is large, only one country (the one with higher stickiness) benefits from the integration. 4) A monetary union can be welfare improving for each of both countries, if a transfer is introduced from the more sticky to the more flexible country of (depending on the parameters up to) 2% of its GDP.
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