企业层面的战略和政府干预政策能否减轻Covid-19大流行造成的危害?来自意大利的企业层面的证据

Md. Nazmul Hasan, Mohammad Monirul Islam
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摘要

本研究的目的是确定Covid-19对意大利商业的影响,加速影响的因素,以及应对大流行对商业影响的商业战略和政府政策。该研究使用了世界银行企业调查和意大利后续Covid-19调查的综合数据集。该研究以调查结果为基础,将新冠疫情对企业的影响分为暂时停业、需求冲击、供应冲击、销售下降等4种类型。采用最近邻匹配的PSM模型对数据进行分析。研究结果表明,流动性危机、信贷销售下降和信贷购买是新冠肺炎疫情对意大利企业影响的主要原因。大流行期间的业务战略,如在线活动、送货上门和远程工作,大大减少了大流行的影响。替代融资来源和政府激励措施无助于企业应对Covid-19的影响。研究结果还表明,Covid-19的业务影响及其促成和应对因素因公司的部门和规模而异。
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Can the firm-level strategies and government intervention policies mitigate the harms caused by the Covid-19 pandemic? Firm-level evidence from Italy
The purpose of this study is to identify the effects of Covid-19 on business in Italy, factors accelerating the impacts, and business strategies and government policies to combat the business impacts of the pandemic. The study uses combined data sets of the World Bank enterprise survey and the follow-up Covid-19 survey in Italy. Based on the survey, the study classifies the business impacts of Covid-19 into four types such as temporary closure, demand shock, supply shock, and fall of sales. The study applies PSM model with nearest neighbour matching method to analyze the data.The results of the study suggest that liquidity crisis, fall in credit sales, and credit purchases are the main reasons for Covid-19’s impacts on Italian business. Business strategies during the pandemic such as online activity, home delivery, and remote work significantly reduce the impacts of the pandemic. Alternative financing sources and government incentives do not help firms to combat Covid-19’s impacts. The results also suggest that the business impacts of Covid-19 and its contributing and combating factors significantly vary across the firm’s sectors and sizes.
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