利用经验率函数对输电线路进行过载概率排序

Brendan Patch, B. Zwart
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们开发了一种非参数程序,根据随机可再生能源发电或需求侧负荷波动导致输电线路过载的概率对电力系统中的输电线路进行排序,并将该程序与几种基准方法进行比较。使用IEEE 39总线测试网络,我们提供的证据表明,我们的方法,统计估计每条线路的速率函数,相对于计数过载事件或使用不正确参数假设的替代方法是非常有前途的。
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Ranking transmission lines by overload probability using the empirical rate function
We develop a non-parametric procedure for ranking transmission lines in a power system according to the probability that they will overload due to stochastic renewable generation or demand-side load fluctuations, and compare this procedure to several benchmark approaches. Using the IEEE 39-bus test network we provide evidence that our approach, which statistically estimates the rate function for each line, is highly promising relative to alternative methods which count overload events or use incorrect parametric assumptions.
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