大学橄榄球传播的聚类

Adam Schwartz, Bonnie F. Van Ness, R. Van Ness
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文研究了大学橄榄球的分差。我们发现投注价差可以很好地预测大学橄榄球常规赛的结果,但不能预测碗赛的结果。我们的投注线分布样本集中在3分(射门得分)和7分(触地得分/额外得分)附近。此外,当输球或触地得分时,投注线分布的准确性也会提高。
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Clustering of College Football Spreads
This paper examines college football point spreads. We find that the betting spread is a good predictor of outcome for college football games during the regular season, but not for bowl games. Our sample of betting line spreads cluster around 3 points (field goal) and 7 points (touchdown/extra point). Also, the accuracy of the betting line spread improves when the spread clusters on a field goal or touchdown.
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Information and Accuracy in Pricing: Evidence from the NCAA Men’s Basketball Betting Market Clustering of College Football Spreads
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