抵押贷款危机后股票和黄金的战争经济分析——用半股票和黄金的半协方差分析

S. Zhou, Zhili Michelle Chen, J. Huang, Heping Pan
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摘要

一个工程观测窗口的统计量称为运行窗口量。运行内协方差是运行内协方差的一种特殊情况,当两个变量相同时。内部协方差减去受尊重的内部协方差的几何平均值称为纯内部协方差。与运行中的Pearson分析相比,它提供了更清晰的关联分析。协方差对标准差的归一化称为皮尔逊相关系数。高于或低于平均值的区域的协方差称为半协方差(上或下)。在这里,我们提出了一种纯间运行半协方差,一种精确的ReLU(整流线性单位)方法来测量变量之间的非线性间相关性,排除非线性内成分。应用我们的框架成功地分析了战争因素与黄金反应之间的关系。我们对2007年抵押贷款危机后12年战争装备公司股票与黄金的分析结果表明,不同地区的股票对反映整体和平经济繁荣的黄金价值的影响略有不同。
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War Economy Analysis after Mortgage Crisis on Stock and Gold with Semi-Stock and Gold with Semi--Covariance Covariance Covariance
The statistics for a window of an engineering observation is called running window quantity. Running intra-covariance is a special case of running inter-covariance, when two variables are the same. The inter-covariance minus the geometric average of respected intra-covariances is called the pure inter-covariance. It gives you a cleaner association analysis compared with the running Pearson analysis. The normalization of covariance to standard deviation is called the Pearson correlation coefficient. The covariance for the region above or below the average is called semi-covariance (upper or down). Here we present a pure inter running semi-covariance, an accurate ReLU (Rectified Linear Unit) way of measuring the inter-non-linear correlation between variables excluding the intra-non-linear components. Our framework is applied to successfully analyze the association between war factors and the gold response. The result of our analyses of the 12 years after the 2007 Mortgage crisis on the war equipment companies' stock versus the gold suggests that stocks from different regions have a slightly different impact on the gold value that reflects the overall peaceful economic prosperities.
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