基于CEEMDAN和改进FA-LSTM的外汇预测

Mustika Ulina, Ronsen Purba, Arwin Halim
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引用次数: 5

摘要

由于时间序列数据具有混沌、不确定性和复杂性等特点,对外汇交易进行高精度预测是一个挑战。为了提高外汇价格预测的准确性,提出了基于自适应噪声的完全集成经验模态分解(CEEMDAN)和改进萤火虫算法-长短期记忆(IFA-LSTM)的预测模型。在该模型中,预处理数据采用CEEMDAN分解为IMF序列和残差序列。建立了CEEMDAN沉积各特征序列的LSTM预测模型。应用IFA优化神经网络结构,提高模型的预测精度。我们将所提出的模型与LSTM和CEEMDAN-LSTM模型进行了比较,实验结果表明,所提出的模型对外汇时间序列的预测效果更好。
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Foreign Exchange Prediction using CEEMDAN and Improved FA-LSTM
In Foreign Exchange (Forex) Prediction with high accuracy it becomes a challenge because time series data has chaotic characteristics, uncertainty, and complexity. To improve the accuracy of the forex prices prediction, prediction models are proposed which Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise (CEEMDAN) and Improved Firefly Algorithm-Long Short Term Memory (IFA-LSTM). In this model the preprocessing data using the CEEMDAN to decomposed into IMF sequence and residual sequence. LSTM prediction models are established for all each characteristic series from CEEMDAN deposition. IFA is applied to optimize neural network structure to improve the performance of the model prediction accuracy. We compare our proposed models with LSTM and CEEMDAN-LSTM models, the experimental results show that the proposed models performs better in the prediction of forex time series.
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