西非经共体宏观经济趋同标准是否满足最优货币区?

L. S. Nkwatoh
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引用次数: 4

摘要

西非国家经济共同体(西非经共体)国家表示希望在2020年之前根据六项宏观经济趋同标准建立一个货币联盟。这一愿望基于西非经共体各国政府首脑和中央银行行长批准和签署的一系列战略和各种条约,更加强调所有成员国在进入设想的货币联盟之前必须满足的马斯特里赫特式的一套趋同标准。尽管趋同标准可能保证区域集团的宏观经济稳定,但批评者断言,趋同标准对货币联盟的形成是不够的,而且无关紧要。这项研究的目的是确定西非经共体国家是否符合使它们适合成为货币联盟的所有宏观经济趋同标准。分析表明,西非经共体没有一个国家在某一特定时间点达到所有趋同标准,这意味着该区域的宏观经济趋同水平相对于既定目标而言仍然不足。然而,WAEMU的子经济体已经满足了三个标准——公共债务与GDP的比率,包括赠款在内的赤字,年度通货膨胀率。原因很简单,WAEMU是一个现有的货币联盟,拥有共同的稳定政策。
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Does ECOWAS Macroeconomic Convergence Criteria Satisfy an Optimum Currency Area?
The Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) countries have expressed their desire to establish a monetary union by the year 2020 based on six macroeconomic convergence criteria. The desire is predicated on a series of strategies and various treaties ratified and signed by various ECOWAS Heads of governments and Central Banks’ Governors with more emphasis on the Maastricht-type set of convergence criteria that must be satisfied by all member countries before they ascend to the envisaged monetary union. Even though the convergence criteria may guarantee macroeconomic stability in a regional grouping, critics assert that the convergence criteria are insufficient and inconsequential to the formation of monetary union. The objective of this study is to ascertain whether ECOWAS countries have met all the macroeconomic convergence criteria making them fit for a monetary union. The analyses indicate that no ECOWAS country has met all the convergence criteria at a given point in time implying that the level of macroeconomic convergence in the region still remains inadequate relative to the set targets. However, WAEMU sub-set economies have met three of the criteria -public debts to GDP Ratio, deficits including grants, annual percentage inflation rate. The simple reason is that WAEMU is an existing monetary union with a common stabilization policy.
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