多期投资组合优化的案例研究:一个经典问题的重访

M. Tarlie
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引用次数: 0

摘要

传统观点认为,多期投资组合优化问题最好的解决方法是动态规划。但是动态规划受维度的困扰,随着时间范围和资产数量的增加,优化变得难以处理,从而限制了它的实际应用。在本文中,我展示了一个经典的多周期投资问题,前馈,开环过程,可以用传统方法(例如变分法)解决,不受维度诅咒的影响,生成“此时此地”的投资组合,与动态规划方法生成的投资组合相同。本文的分析结果表明,对于这一经典问题,前馈方法并不比一般的后向归纳法差,这表明对于一些实际有用的多周期投资问题,“带追索权的开环”过程是一种可行的闭环方法。
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A Case Study in Multiperiod Portfolio Optimization: A Classic Problem Revisited
Conventional wisdom holds that multiperiod portfolio optimization problems are best, if not only, solved by dynamic programming. But dynamic programming suffers from the curse of dimensionality whereby optimization becomes intractable as time horizon and number of assets increase, thereby limiting its practical applications. In this paper I show for a classic multiperiod investment problem that a feed-forward, open-loop procedure, amenable to solution by conventional methods (e.g. calculus of variations) and not subject to the curse of dimensionality, generates `here and now' portfolios identical to those generated by the dynamic programming approach. The analytic results in this paper demonstrate that for this classic problem a feed forward approach is not inferior to the more common backward induction approach, suggesting that an `open-loop with recourse' process is a viable closed-loop approach for some practically useful multiperiod investment problems.
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