货币政策与不平等:一个如何影响另一个?

Eunseong Ma
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引用次数: 12

摘要

本研究调查了货币政策和不平等之间的关系,通过询问一个如何影响另一个:货币政策对不平等的影响和不平等的长期水平对货币政策有效性的影响。为此,我将名义工资合同和预付现金约束纳入到一个具有不可分割劳动的异质代理模型经济中。我发现,扩张性货币政策减少了收入、财富和消费的不平等,主要是由于就业从分配的底部上升。在整个财富分配中,对收入的影响不尽相同:作为对意外货币宽松政策的回应,财富分配底部的家庭从就业增长中受益,而富裕家庭则从相对意义上的实际资产回报上升中受益。意外的货币扩张还会对穷人和富人之间的消费产生不对称反应:资产贫乏的家庭增加消费,而富裕家庭则减少消费。这意味着通货膨胀对富人的伤害更大。我还发现,长期普遍存在的不平等水平决定了预留工资分配的形态,从而影响了货币政策的有效性。在其他条件相同的情况下,就产出而言,一个更平等的经济体与更有效的货币政策相关联。我还使用州级面板数据为这一模型结果提供了经验证据:在不平等程度低的州,货币政策冲击对产出的影响更大。
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Monetary Policy and Inequality: How Does One Affect the Other?
This study investigates the relation between monetary policy and inequality by asking how one affects the other: the effect of monetary policy on inequality and the impact of the long-run level of inequality on the effectiveness of monetary policy. To this end, I incorporate nominal wage contracts and cash-in-advance constraints into a heterogeneous agent model economy with indivisible labor. I find that expansionary monetary policy reduces income, wealth, and consumption inequalities mainly due to a rise in employment from the bottom of the distributions. There are heterogeneous effects on income across the wealth distribution: in response to an unanticipated monetary easing, households in the bottom of the wealth distribution benefit from an increase in employment while rich households benefit from a rise in the real asset returns in a relative sense. An unexpected monetary expansion also has asymmetric responses of consumption between the poor and the rich: asset-poor households increase their consumption while it falls for wealthy households. This implies that inflation hurts the rich more. I also find that the long-run prevailing levels of inequality matter for the effectiveness of monetary policy by determining the shape of reservation wage distribution. All else being equal, a more equal economy is associated with more effective monetary policy in terms of output. I also provide empirical evidence for this model result using state-level panel data: the effects of monetary policy shocks on output are larger for low-inequality states.
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