飞往比特币

Yangxin Yu, Jinyuan Zhang
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引用次数: 6

摘要

本文揭示了一种新现象,即在政策不确定性加剧的时期,投资者纷纷涌向比特币。面板回归显示,比特币溢价、交易量和加密货币交易所的网络流量都随着经济政策的不确定性而增加。利用地方全国性冲击的差异中差异测试进一步证实了这一模式。这种现象更多是由于对地方政府缺乏信心和投资者的风险厌恶情绪,而不是为了规避资本管制或对冲市场崩盘。我们认为,比特币的无国籍和去中心化性质使其成为一种可行的替代投资工具,可以在动荡中减轻对地方当局的担忧。
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Flight to Bitcoin
This paper uncovers a novel phenomenon, flight-to-Bitcoin, during periods of heightened policy uncertainties. Panel regressions show that Bitcoin premia, turnovers, and Web traffic on cryptocurrency exchanges all increase with economic policy uncertainties. Difference-in-differences tests exploiting local nationwide shocks further confirm this pattern. The phenomenon is driven more by the lack of confidence in local authorities and investors' risk aversion than circumventing capital controls or hedging against market crashes. We argue that the stateless and decentralized nature of BTC renders it a viable alternative investment vehicle for allaying concerns against local authorities amid turbulence.
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