个人退休储蓄投资偏好分组:美国会员风险态度调查的聚类分析

D. Blake, Mel Duffield, Ian Tonks, Alistair Haig, D. Blower, L. MacPhee
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引用次数: 0

摘要

聚类分析是用来确定在风险态度方面的USS成员的同质组。40多岁和50多岁的成员组成了两个截然不同的群体。其中一人此前曾通过提供额外的自愿捐款与USS“签约”。与“不参与”集群的成员相比,它通常有更高的薪酬、更长的任期、对道德投资的兴趣较少、更低的风险承受能力、更高的男性比例和更高的学者比例。仅以对风险反应的态度为条件,有18个集群,根据使用哪种聚类方法,具有相似但不相同的隶属关系。在18个群体中,风险厌恶程度的差异很大程度上可以用女性比例和夫妻比例的差异来解释。风险厌恶随着集群中女性比例的增加而增加,而由于家庭内部风险分担的增加,风险厌恶随着夫妻比例的增加而减少。其他研究发现风险态度的重要决定因素,如年龄、收入和(养老金)财富等特征,对USS成员来说并不重要。此外,尽管平均受教育程度高于一般人群,但在控制工资的情况下,USS成员的风险厌恶程度略高于一般人群,尽管差异并不显著。
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Grouping Individual Investment Preferences in Retirement Savings: A Cluster Analysis of a USS Members Risk Attitude Survey
Cluster analysis is used to identify homogeneous groups of members of USS in terms of risk attitudes. There are two distinct clusters of members in their 40s and 50s. One had previously ‘engaged’ with USS by making additional voluntary contributions. It typically had higher pay, longer tenure, less interest in ethical investing, lower risk capacity, a higher percentage of males, and a higher percentage of academics than members of the ‘disengaged’ cluster. Conditioning only on the attitude to risk responses, there are 18 clusters, with similar but not identical membership, depending on which clustering method is used. The differences in risk aversion across the 18 clusters could be explained largely by differences in the percentage of females and the percentage of couples. Risk aversion increases as the percentage of females in the cluster increases, while it reduces as the percentage of couples increases because of greater risk sharing within the household. Characteristics that other studies have found important determinants of risk attitudes, such as age, income and (pension) wealth, do not turn out to be as significant for USS members. Further, despite being on average more highly educated than the general population, USS members are marginally more risk averse than the general population, controlling for salary, although the difference is not significant.
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