地缘政治危机中的不确定性:乌克兰冲突事件研究

Chris Centrella
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着世界陷入危机模式,是时候做出政策决定,引导一个国家的进程,把它推向另一边。在乌克兰冲突期间,许多国家突然出现,作为乌克兰对抗俄罗斯联邦军国主义行动的救星。这项事件研究表明,全球经济政策不确定性的变化确实发生在这段时间内。然而,这些回报与均值相差还不够远,不足以最终将其视为地缘政治危机造成的异常变化。
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Uncertainty Amongst a Geopolitical Crisis: An Event Study of the Ukraine Conflict
As the world falls into crisis mode, it becomes the time to make policy decisions that steer the course of a nation and push it across to the other side. During the Ukraine Conflict, many countries swooped in as the saving grace to Ukraine against the militaristic actions taken by the Russian Federation. This event study demonstrates the changes in the Global Economic Policy Uncertainty do occur during this window of time. However, these returns are not far enough from their mean to conclusively deem them as abnormal changes caused by this geopolitical crisis.
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