北极海冰损失引发极地放大的新机制

V. Ivanov
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引用次数: 1

摘要

正反馈效应与所谓的极地放大现象有关,由于这种现象,近几十年来北极地表气温的增幅大约是其他纬向带的2.5倍。北极海冰的减少充当了一个“触发器”,提供了一个强化的反馈,在厚固结冰普遍存在的条件下,这些反馈要么根本没有表现出来,要么是无效的。除了在文献中描述的在高纬度地区起作用的众所周知的反馈外,还介绍了两种新的机制:冰盖性质的“季节记忆”和“大西洋化”。研究表明,这些机制有助于北极海冰的进一步减少。在北冰洋东大西洋海域,这两种机制协同运作,增强了最终效果。根据气候情景,北极变暖预计将在未来几十年加剧,导致各种环境的变化。可以预期,当北极气候系统处于不稳定的过渡状态时,在现代条件下提供极地放大的正反馈将在这方面发挥重要作用。
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New Mechanisms of Polar Amplification Triggered by the Arctic Sea Ice Loss
The effect of positive feedbacks is associated with the phenomenon of the so-called Polar amplification, due to which an increase of the surface air temperature in the Arctic in recent decades was approximately 2.5 times higher than in the other latitudinal zones. Reduction of the Arctic sea ice acted as a “trigger” that provided an intensification of feedbacks, which were either not manifested at all or were ineffective under the conditions of the prevalence of thick consolidated ice. In addition to the well-known and described in the literature feedbacks that are acting in high latitudes, two new mechanisms are introduced: “seasonal memory” in the ice cover properties and “atlantifi- cation”. It has been shown that these mechanisms contribute to the further reduction of the Arctic sea ice. In the East-Atlantic sector of the Arctic Ocean both mechanisms operate in concert, enhancing the end result. According to climate scenarios, Arctic warming is projected to intensify in the coming decades, causing changes in various environments. It can be expected that an important role in this will be played by positive feedbacks that provide the Polar amplification in modern conditions, when the Arctic climate system is in an unstable transitional state.
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