小波滤波在温度时间序列预测中的应用

Ashikin Ali, R. Ghazali, L. H. Ismail
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引用次数: 3

摘要

小波是一种基于数字信号处理的滤波技术,在图像处理中得到了广泛的应用。近年来,由于小波在信号分析方面的优点,越来越多的应用于信号预处理。在本研究中,我们测试了小波滤波技术在巴都巴哈特地区2005 - 2009年温度时间序列预测中的应用。在本文中,我们提出了一种利用小波技术对时间序列数据进行预处理后再输入到MLP的新模型,称为小波多层感知器(W-MLP)。将W-MLP的性能与多层感知器(MLP)、低通滤波器(LP)、高通滤波器(HP)和带通滤波器(BP)进行了比较。对温度时间序列的预测仿真结果表明,W-MLP在预测误差和历元方面都明显优于其他4种滤波技术。
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The wavelet filtering in temperature time series prediction
Wavelet is basically a filtering technique based on digital signal processing which have been widely applied in image processing. Recently, wavelet has been applied as a pre-processing element as they are good in analyzing signals. In this study, we have tested the wavelet filtering technique in temperature time series prediction for Batu Pahat region, ranging from 2005 - 2009. In this work, we proposed a new model which makes use the wavelet technique to pre-process the time series data before feeding to the MLP, and it is called a wavelet multilayer perceptron (W-MLP). The performance of the W-MLP is compared to Multi layer perceptron (MLP), Low-pass filter (LP), High-pass (HP) filter and Band-pass (BP) filter. Simulation results on the prediction of temperature time series show that W-MLP performs considerably better results when compared to other four filtering techniques in terms of the prediction error and epochs.
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