基于风险规避态度的电力市场供应商最优竞价策略

Qiao-lin Ding, Jing Tang, Jianxin Liu
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文提供了一个框架,根据不同的风险分析和决策获得一些最优策略。在预测价格和基于价格概率分布的不同置信水平定义的几个边界价格条件下,采用优化过程寻找最优产量。市场参与者会选择他们最感兴趣的价格,其态度取决于其风险厌恶程度来构建投标策略。这项工作的主要贡献是找到一个投标策略的方法。在只需要预测需求和市场出清价格相关信息的情况下,由具有最优出价块的曲线组成的新最优竞价策略显示出其优越性
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A new optimal bidding strategy based on risk aversion attitude of power market suppliers
This paper provides a framework to obtain some optimal strategies according to different risk analysis and decisions. An optimization process is used to find the optimal production for forecasted price and several boundary prices which are defined based on different confidence level of price probability distribution. Market participants would select their most interesting prices related to its attitude depends on its degree of risk aversion to construct the bidding strategy. The main contribution of this work is a methodology to find a bidding strategy. The new optimal bidding strategy composed of curves with optimal offer blocks where only information related to forecasted demand and market-clearing prices is required shows its superiority to others
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