市场后果与真实盈余管理:印尼的实证研究

Greska Redielano Ramadan, M. N. Alim, Prasetyono Prasetyono, N. Sayidah
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摘要

本研究考察了实际盈余管理的后果。本文从资本市场和盈余信息两个方面分析了真实盈余管理对投资的影响。我们依靠Fama(1969)提出的有效市场假说来预测真实盈余管理造成的市场和会计后果。我们的人口和样本为2013-2017年在印尼证券交易所上市的非金融公司。我们进行了事件研究,在财务报表公布前后两天检查累积异常回报和盈余反应系数。模型结果表明,真实盈余管理对股票收益和盈余信息均有负向影响。我们也发现实证证据表明,资本市场可以通过真实盈余管理达到盈余操纵的指示。这些结果让我们了解到印尼资本市场的效率水平属于半强形式。
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Market Consequences and Real Earnings Management: Empirical Study in Indonesia
This research examined the consequences of real earnings management. We analyzed real earnings management’s effects on two aspects of investment: capital market and earnings informativeness. We rely on the efficient market hypothesis theorized by Fama (1969)to predict the market and accounting consequences caused by real earnings management. Our population and samples are a non-financial company listed on the Indonesian Stock Exchange during 2013-2017. We conducted event studies that examine cumulative abnormal return and earnings response coefficient two days before and after the financial statement was published. The model results showed that real earnings management has a negative impact on both stock return and the informativeness of earnings. We also found empirical evidence that the capital market could reach an indication of earnings manipulations through real earnings management. Those results give us the insight that the Indonesian capital market level of efficiencies classified into semi-strong form.
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