中国2025年水资源供需预测

X. Wei, J. Xu, Y. Zhai
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引用次数: 1

摘要

水资源是最关键的资源;它是人类生存、生产和维持良好生态环境的基本条件。水是一种可再生资源,但中国由于人口众多,面临着严重的淡水短缺问题。本文建立了两个模型,对2025年中国的水资源需求和供给进行了预测。这两种预测模型都是基于双指数平滑算法建立的。在此基础上,对全国和各省的水量进行了分析,并提出了两点建议
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Forecasting Water Demand and Supply of China for 2025
Water resource is the most critical resource; it is the basic condition of human survival, production and maintaining a good ecological environment. Water is a kind of renewable resources, but China is faced with a serious shortage of freshwater because of its huge population. In this paper, two models are built to make a forecast of water demand and supply of China in 2025. These two forecasting models for water demand and supply based on the algorithm of Double Exponential Smoothing. Based on the results of these models, the water amount of the nation and every province is obvious and two advices are proposed for China government makes any
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