萨摩亚102年的气象记录以及农产品和ENSO变率的初步研究

D. Solofa, T. Aung
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引用次数: 6

摘要

本文旨在寻找厄尔尼诺/南方涛动(ENSO)变率与作物生产之间的关系。首先研究了降水和平均温度,以建立ENSO关系,同时分析了主要部门宏观经济和作物数据,以注意到与ENSO显著发生的影响相关的产量的任何显著变化。然而,加强机构和改善进入当地和区域市场的机会以及部门发展方案使这项评估变得困难。萨摩亚初级部门的支柱和经济支柱说,自给农业(和渔业)理想情况下是ENSO影响的最佳来源,不幸的是,数据匮乏的部门。
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Samoa's 102 year meteorological record and a preliminary study on agricultural product and ENSO variability
This paper seeks to find a relationship between the El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variability and crop production. Precipitation and mean temperature were examined first to establish an ENSO relationship while primary sector macroeconomic and crops data were analyzed to note any significant variations in output linked to ENSO impacts of significant occurrence. Institutional strengthening and improved access to markets, both local and regional, and sector development programmes however have made this assessment difficult. Subsistence agriculture (and fisheries), said to the backbone and economic mainstay of Samoa’s primary sector, ideally the best source of ENSO impacts unfortunately remains the data poor sector.
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