经济增长的另一面——来自印度尼西亚的预测

I. Irwansyah, A. Paminto, Z. Ilmi, D. Darma, Yana Ulfah
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引用次数: 5

摘要

今后将特别重视与可持续经济增长有关的新模式或研究。本周将确定财政和货币政策以外的因素对印尼经济增长的作用,如幸福、人口压力、劳动力和人类发展。为此,OLS方法给出了时间序列数据(2015-2019)。预测研究表明,幸福、人口压力和人类发展可以显著地促进经济增长。另一个发现是劳动力不能显著控制经济增长,缓慢地以负斜率降低经济增长。对发展中国家的实际贡献可以解释长期的内生(内部)增长。人力资源的质量必须优先考虑生产力、收入和实际福利。政府需要规划一个以财政和货币方面为导向的政策框架。如何引用:Irwansyah, I., Paminto, A., Ilmi, Z., Darma, D., & Ulfah, Y.(2022)。经济增长的另一面——来自印度尼西亚的预测。意义[j] .经济学报,11(1),107-124。https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v11i1.20280。
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The Flip Side of Economic Growth – Predictions from Indonesia
Special attention in the future will emphasize patterns or studies thatare relevant and new in highlighting sustainable economic growth. Weseek to identify the role of factors outside of fiscal and monetary policyon economic growth in Indonesia, such as happiness, demographicpressures, labor force, and human development. For this purpose,the OLS method has presented time-series data (2015-2019).Prediction studies show that happiness, demographic pressures, andhuman development can increase economic growth in a significantdirection. Another finding is that the labor force cannot significantlycontrol economic growth, slowly decreasing growth with a negativeslope. Practical contributions to developing countries can accountfor endogenous (internal) growth over the long term. The qualityof human resources must prioritize productivity, income, and realwelfare. The government needs to plan a policy framework orientedto the fiscal and monetary side.How to Cite:Irwansyah, I., Paminto, A., Ilmi, Z., Darma, D. C., & Ulfah, Y. (2022). The Flip Side of Economic Growth – Predictions from Indonesia. Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 11(1), 107-124. https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v11i1.20280.
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