某邮政公司改制方案的模糊推理方法

N. Glisovic, N. Bojovic, M. Milenković
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引用次数: 0

摘要

现代组织和公司几乎在生活和工作的所有领域都处于进步的时代,受到大规模、快速和动态变化的影响。在这种情况下,商业世界被迫适应这些变化。由此产生的变化的特点是,导致质疑现有的社会理论,特别是在宏观经济领域。项目管理是一门新兴的专业管理学科。项目管理的主要目标是在外部和内部发生重大变化的情况下,在计划的时间和计划的成本内有效地实现项目。本文采用模糊推理方法对某邮政公司改制项目进行管理。将模糊PERT法与模糊德尔菲法相结合,对活动时间进行预测,寻找关键路径。这一办法已应用于塞尔维亚邮政公司改组的一个项目,取得的结果似乎非常一致。
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Fuzzy reasoning approach for a postal company restructuring project
Modern organizations and companies exist in time of progressiveness in almost all segments of life and work influenced by large, rapid and dynamic changes. In such conditions, business world is enforced to adapt to these changes. Character of resulting changes is such that leads to question the existing social theories, especially in the macroeconomic field. Project management is a new and specialized management discipline. The main goal of project management is an efficient project realization within the planned time and planned costs in the conditions of significant external and internal changes. In this paper we developed a fuzzy reasoning approach for a Postal company restructuring project management. We combined Fuzzy PERT method with Fuzzy Delphi for activity time forecasting and finding the critical path. This approach has been applied on a project of Serbian postal company restructuring and obtained results appeared as very consistent.
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