揭示印度的区域增长和趋同

A. Chanda, S. Kabiraj
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引用次数: 34

摘要

自1991年以来,大量关于印度经济快速增长的研究也证明了地区差距的扩大。在本文中,我们使用不饱和的夜间灯光数据来挑战这种不平等增长的主导叙述。在横跨15 年(1996-2010)的520个地区中,我们发现了绝对趋同的压倒性证据。将地区进一步划分为农村和城市地区,我们还表明,这种追赶主要归因于农村地区的更快增长。离海岸较远、农业适宜性较低、地形崎岖的地理条件较差的地区也增长较快。趋同结果与分析期间重叠的主要基础设施和教育举措无关,也适用于覆盖较长时间(1992-2013)的夜灯替代措施。
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Shedding Light on Regional Growth and Convergence in India
Abstract A large body of research on India’s rapid economic growth since 1991 also documents increasing regional disparities. In this paper, we use unsaturated night light data to challenge this dominant narrative of unequal growth. For 520 districts spanning a 15 year period (1996–2010), we find overwhelming evidence of absolute convergence. Dividing districts further into rural and urban areas, we also show that this catching-up can be attributed mainly to faster growth in rural areas. Geographically disadvantaged districts - those further away from the coast, with lower agricultural suitability, and more rugged terrain also grew faster. The convergence results are not associated with major infrastructure and education initiatives that overlapped with the period of analysis, and also hold for alternative measures of night-lights that cover a longer period of time (1992–2013).
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