{"title":"Obermatt十大股票回归测试","authors":"Hermann J. Stern","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2438628","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"In weekly intervals, the Swiss stock research firm Obermatt publishes the top 10 stocks in a stock index based on four different investment strategies. This report describes the results of a back testing of this method. It uses prior year year-end financials to identify top 10 stock tips for a stock index at the beginning of the years 2011, 2012 and 2013. It then compares the returns of these 10 stock tips with the returns of the index that they come from. This report tests 600 investment cases (50 stock indices times 3 years times 4 investment strategies). From the beginning of 2011 to the end of 2013, Obermatt Top 10 Stock Tips generated an average outperformance over the corresponding 52 stock indices of 8.0%. In other words, Obermatt Top 10 Stock Tips generated 8% more returns than the index where they come from. Obermatt stock tips have been better than their index in 454 of the tested 600 cases (76%). The value strategy was right in eight out of ten performance comparisons (81%). The underlying data is available free of charge at Obermatt for further research and publications.","PeriodicalId":332226,"journal":{"name":"USC Marshall School of Business Research Paper Series","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2014-02-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Obermatt Top 10 Stocks Back Testing\",\"authors\":\"Hermann J. Stern\",\"doi\":\"10.2139/ssrn.2438628\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"In weekly intervals, the Swiss stock research firm Obermatt publishes the top 10 stocks in a stock index based on four different investment strategies. This report describes the results of a back testing of this method. It uses prior year year-end financials to identify top 10 stock tips for a stock index at the beginning of the years 2011, 2012 and 2013. It then compares the returns of these 10 stock tips with the returns of the index that they come from. This report tests 600 investment cases (50 stock indices times 3 years times 4 investment strategies). From the beginning of 2011 to the end of 2013, Obermatt Top 10 Stock Tips generated an average outperformance over the corresponding 52 stock indices of 8.0%. In other words, Obermatt Top 10 Stock Tips generated 8% more returns than the index where they come from. Obermatt stock tips have been better than their index in 454 of the tested 600 cases (76%). The value strategy was right in eight out of ten performance comparisons (81%). The underlying data is available free of charge at Obermatt for further research and publications.\",\"PeriodicalId\":332226,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"USC Marshall School of Business Research Paper Series\",\"volume\":\"1 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2014-02-27\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"USC Marshall School of Business Research Paper Series\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2438628\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"USC Marshall School of Business Research Paper Series","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2438628","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
瑞士股票研究公司Obermatt每隔一周就会根据四种不同的投资策略公布一个股指中排名前十的股票。本报告描述了该方法的回测结果。该公司利用前一年的年终财务报告,在2011年、2012年和2013年年初确定某一股指的十大个股建议。然后,它将这10个股票提示的回报与它们所来自的指数的回报进行比较。本报告测试了600个投资案例(50个股票指数乘以3年乘以4个投资策略)。从2011年初到2013年底,Obermatt Top 10股票提示的平均表现超过了相应的52个股票指数8.0%。换句话说,Obermatt十大股票提示产生的回报比其来源的指数高出8%。在接受测试的600个案例中,有454个(76%)股票提示的表现好于他们的指数。价值策略在8 / 10的业绩比较中是正确的(81%)。基础数据可以在Obermatt免费获得,用于进一步的研究和出版。
In weekly intervals, the Swiss stock research firm Obermatt publishes the top 10 stocks in a stock index based on four different investment strategies. This report describes the results of a back testing of this method. It uses prior year year-end financials to identify top 10 stock tips for a stock index at the beginning of the years 2011, 2012 and 2013. It then compares the returns of these 10 stock tips with the returns of the index that they come from. This report tests 600 investment cases (50 stock indices times 3 years times 4 investment strategies). From the beginning of 2011 to the end of 2013, Obermatt Top 10 Stock Tips generated an average outperformance over the corresponding 52 stock indices of 8.0%. In other words, Obermatt Top 10 Stock Tips generated 8% more returns than the index where they come from. Obermatt stock tips have been better than their index in 454 of the tested 600 cases (76%). The value strategy was right in eight out of ten performance comparisons (81%). The underlying data is available free of charge at Obermatt for further research and publications.