美国货币政策的风险承担渠道:来自微观层面数据的证据

M. Delis, I. Hasan, N. Mylonidis
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引用次数: 40

摘要

越来越多的人认为,长期的低利率会通过激励银行承担风险,对金融稳定产生负面影响。利用美国银行业的微观层面数据集,本文发现了货币政策利率与银行风险承担之间高度显著负相关的证据。这一发现在各种规格、子周期和子样本中都保持稳健,从而证实了自20世纪90年代以来货币政策存在积极的风险承担渠道。因此,研究结果支持了美联储在宏观审慎监管方面的新职责,以监控系统性风险。
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The Risk-Taking Channel of Monetary Policy in the USA: Evidence from Micro-Level Data
There is a growing consensus that a prolonged period of low interest rates can exert a negative impact on financial stability through the risk-taking incentives of banks. Using micro-level datasets from the US banking sector, this paper finds evidence of a highly significant negative relationship between monetary policy rates and bank-risk taking. This finding remains robust across various specifications, sub-periods and subsamples, thereby confirming the presence of an active risk-taking channel of monetary policy since the 1990s. The results, therefore, support the new responsibilities of the Fed on macro-prudential supervision to monitor systemic risks.
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