基于Naïve贝叶斯分类器的飞行数据异常检测

Murtaja S. Jalawkhan, Tareef K. Mustafa
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引用次数: 0

摘要

安全是民航可靠运行的关键。在航空业,人们越来越重视主动安全管理系统,以提高当前航空运营的安全性。这些系统利用异常检测技术来识别和降低事故发生的风险。这项工作为商业飞行运营开发了一种新的异常检测方法,使用常规操作数据来增强主动安全管理系统,并利用数据挖掘技术利用真实的FDR(飞行数据记录器)数据在飞行过程中即时识别异常情况。使用Naïve贝叶斯分类器检测正常和异常情况。将该分类器应用于100个航班的数据集,可以识别出新的异常情况,检测概率高,误报概率低。结果强烈表明,在各种航班中检测到的异常可以被识别,这可以帮助航空公司采取许多不同的方法,例如部署预测性维护,检测性能差异的早期迹象,安全支持以及相应的工作人员培训。
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Anomaly Detection in Flight Data Using the Naïve Bayes Classifier
Safety is the key to reliable civil aviation. In the airline industry, there is a growing emphasis on proactive safety management systems in order to improve the safety of current aviation operations. These systems utilize anomaly detection techniques to recognize and reduce the risk of accidents occurring. This work develops a new anomaly detection approach for commercial flight operations using routine operational data to enhance proactive safety management systems and utilizes data mining techniques to identify abnormal situations instantaneously during flights using real-life FDR (Flight Data Recorder) data. The Naïve Bayes classifier was used to detect normal and abnormal situations. This classifier was applied to a dataset of 100 flights and new abnormal situations could be recognized with a high probability of detection and a low probability of false alarm. The results strongly suggest that anomalies detected in a variety of flights can be recognized, which can help airlines with many different approaches, such as the deployment of predictive maintenance, the detection of early signs of performance divergence, safety support, and the training of staff accordingly.
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