基于两阶段随机分析的收获计划预测保险的比较研究

Hashnayne Ahmed, Shek Ahmed
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引用次数: 2

摘要

从长远来看,考虑不确定性的例外可能对任何系统或现象的结果非常有害。随机过程描述了考虑我们生活中不同领域的不确定性的方法。我们使用线性规划进行最佳规划。它也被认为是制定决策或计划的最佳优化技术。但是这种规划工具在对意外风险或随机性的优化方面让我们失望。考虑到农民将土地用于不同作物收割的随机性,可以为农民提供一些保险,以获得最好的可能结果。随机规划研究这些类型的优化技术,并考虑风险,以便在我们生活的每一步做出更好的决策。本文描述了不确定性计算或随机方法的早期起步和随机优化领域的演变。在不确定性计算的意义上,随机优化比敏感性分析更重要,它通过从经验中获得的数据来工作。我们还提出了一个随机模型,在收获过程中存在一些不确定性问题,以获得更好的结果。还讨论了一些应用领域。
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A Comparative Study on Harvesting Plan Predicting Insurance with Two-Stage Stochastic Analysis
The exception of considering uncertainty could be very detrimental to the outcomes of any systems or phenomena in the long run. Stochastic Process describes the way of considering uncertainty in different sectors of our life. We use Linear Programming for planning at its best. It is also considered as the best optimization technique for taking decisions or planning. But this planning tool disappoints us in optimization for unexpected risk or stochasticity. Consideration of stochasticity for a farmer to devote land on different crops for harvesting could be some insurance for the farmer with the best possible outcomes. Stochastic Programming studies these types of optimization techniques with risk consideration for better decisions in every step of our life. In this paper, we described the early starting of uncertainty calculation or stochastic approach and the evolution of stochastic optimization fields. Stochastic optimization is rather important in the sense of uncertainty calculation than sensitivity analysis and works through data gained from experience. We also present a stochastic model with some uncertainty issues in harvesting to make better outcomes. Some application areas are also discussed.
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