水霸权框架:印巴跨界水竞争与合作研究

Munawar Hussain, Munazza Khalid, Sumeera Imran
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引用次数: 2

摘要

1947年巴基斯坦和印度独立后,这两个新成立的国家陷入了许多紧张局势,导致许多领域的竞争。其中一个领域就是两个毗邻的州之间的水电竞争。在此背景下,印巴两国在各个层面都陷入了肛周安全困境。印度正在从西部河流调水,这是《印度河水条约》不允许的。这项研究的目的是找出印度以这种方式行事的原因?这是在水霸权框架(HHF)理论背景下的应用研究。根据该理论,印度表现出水霸权的原因有三个:首先,由于印度优越的上河岸地理位置;其次,因为印度拥有优越的技术潜力和建造大量水坝的能力;第三,印度和巴基斯坦之间存在权力不对称。由于这三个主要原因,印度渴望对根据《印度河水条约》分配给巴基斯坦的三条西部河流进行“统一水资源控制”。印度争取水资源支配权的努力将使其与巴基斯坦的关系复杂化。印度的水力霸权将影响巴基斯坦的经济、水力发电项目、农业部门和国内水力利用。
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Hydro-Hegemony Framework: A study of the India Pakistan trans-boundary water competition and cooperation
After the independence of Pakistan and India in 1947, both the newly established states submerged in many tensions leading to competition in many areas. One such area is the hydro competition between the two closely bordering states. Within this context, India and Pakistan kicked by perianal security dilemma at all levels. India is diverting water from western rivers which is not permissible for India in Indus Water Treaty. The Purpose of this study is to find out the reason/s that why India is behaving in this way? This is an applied research within the context of Hydro-Hegemony Framework (HHF) theory. According to the theory, India is behaving hydro-hegemonically because of the three reasons stated by Hydro-Hegemony Framework; firstly, because of Indian advantageous upper-riparian geographical position; secondly, because of Indian superior technical potential and ability to construct a lot of dams; thirdly power asymmetry exists between India and Pakistan. India because of these three main reasons is desirous to get “Consolidated Water Control” over three western rivers assigned to Pakistan by Indus Water Treaty. Indian endeavors to get water dominance would complicate its relations with Pakistan. Indian hydro-hegemony would impact Pakistan’s economy, hydro-power generations projects, agriculture sectors and domestic hydro-usage.
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