{"title":"个人和专家系统外壳操纵确定性因素的比较","authors":"D. Kopcso, L. Pipino, W. Rybolt","doi":"10.1080/07421222.1988.11517817","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The treatment of uncertainty in expert system shells is addressed, starting with a review of the modeling of uncertainty by expert system shells. An experiment to replicate earlier work investigating the manner in which individuals manipulate certainty factors in comparison to commercial shells is discussed. Comparisons are made among seven commercial shells, both personal-computer (PC)-based and mainframe-based, and individuals. A significant difference between individuals and shells themselves is indicated. Some implications for both expert system and decision-support-system methodologies are discussed.<<ETX>>","PeriodicalId":339507,"journal":{"name":"[1988] Proceedings of the Twenty-First Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences. Volume III: Decision Support and Knowledge Based Systems Track","volume":"23 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"1988-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"14","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A comparison of the manipulation of certainty factors by individuals and expert system shells\",\"authors\":\"D. Kopcso, L. Pipino, W. Rybolt\",\"doi\":\"10.1080/07421222.1988.11517817\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The treatment of uncertainty in expert system shells is addressed, starting with a review of the modeling of uncertainty by expert system shells. An experiment to replicate earlier work investigating the manner in which individuals manipulate certainty factors in comparison to commercial shells is discussed. Comparisons are made among seven commercial shells, both personal-computer (PC)-based and mainframe-based, and individuals. A significant difference between individuals and shells themselves is indicated. Some implications for both expert system and decision-support-system methodologies are discussed.<<ETX>>\",\"PeriodicalId\":339507,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"[1988] Proceedings of the Twenty-First Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences. Volume III: Decision Support and Knowledge Based Systems Track\",\"volume\":\"23 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"1988-07-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"14\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"[1988] Proceedings of the Twenty-First Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences. Volume III: Decision Support and Knowledge Based Systems Track\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1080/07421222.1988.11517817\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"[1988] Proceedings of the Twenty-First Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences. Volume III: Decision Support and Knowledge Based Systems Track","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1080/07421222.1988.11517817","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
A comparison of the manipulation of certainty factors by individuals and expert system shells
The treatment of uncertainty in expert system shells is addressed, starting with a review of the modeling of uncertainty by expert system shells. An experiment to replicate earlier work investigating the manner in which individuals manipulate certainty factors in comparison to commercial shells is discussed. Comparisons are made among seven commercial shells, both personal-computer (PC)-based and mainframe-based, and individuals. A significant difference between individuals and shells themselves is indicated. Some implications for both expert system and decision-support-system methodologies are discussed.<>
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