温度对日本职业棒球的影响分析

Kazuki Konda, Yoshiro Yamamoto
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摘要

每年从3月到10月,日本职业棒球赛由12支球队在从北海道到冲绳的各个棒球场举行,温度从0°C以下到30°C以上。在本研究中,我们旨在分析温度与击球评估指标之间的关系,包括打击率、全打率、孤立功率、在场球打击率、加权上垒率、本垒打率、上垒率、三振率、保送率和失误率。我们使用了2016年至2018年官方赛季2574场棒球比赛的数据。温度数据由Himawari 8地球同步气象卫星观测,分为“温暖”、“平均高”、“平均低”和“寒冷”。我们对每个分类中的指标进行了测试,结果显示有些指标存在显著差异。最后,本研究讨论了如何使用分析结果。
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Analysis of the Impact of Temperature on Nippon Professional Baseball
Nippon Professional Baseball is played annually by 12 teams from March to October at various baseball fields from Hokkaido to Okinawa at temperatures ranging from under 0 °C to over 30 °C. In this study, we aim to analyze the relationship between temperature and batting evaluation metrics, including Batting Average, Slugging percentage, Isolated power, Batting Average on Balls In Play, weighted On-Base Average, Homerun percentage, On-Base Percentage, Strikeout percentage, Walk percentage, and Error play percentage. We used baseball data from 2,574 matches spanning from 2016 to 2018 official seasons. Temperature data was observed by the Himawari 8 geostationary meteorological satellite and was classified as “Warm,” “Average-High,” “Average-Low,” and “Cold.” We tested the metrics in each classification, and the result shows that some metrics were significantly different. Finally, this study discussed how to use the analysis results.
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