QIC在广义估计方程协变量选择中的推理性质

R. N. Nyabwanga, Fredrick Onyango, Edgar Ouko Otumba
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引用次数: 0

摘要

拟似然信息准则(quasylikelihood information criterion, QIC)被广泛应用于GEE框架中,以Kullbacks I-divergence作为目标差异来选择最佳相关结构和最佳预测因子子集。研究了QIC在变量选择中的推理性质,重点研究了它的一致性、灵敏度和稀疏性。通过数值模拟证明了QIC具有高灵敏度和低稀疏性。其I型错误率约为30%,这意味着选择过拟合模型的可能性相当高。另一方面,它的欠拟合概率很低。QIC的统计能力很高,因此即使效应大小很小,也可以保证在足够大的N下拒绝任何给定的错误零假设。数学学科分类:62J12、62F07、62F15
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Inference properties of QIC in the selection of covariates for generalized estimating equations
The Quasi-likelihood information criterion (QIC)which results from utilizing Kullbacks I-divergence as the targeted discrepancy is widely used in the GEE framework to select the best correlation structure and the best subset of predictors. We investigated the inference properties of QIC in variable selection with focus on its consistency, sensitivity and sparsity. We established through numerical simulations that QIC had high sensitivity but low sparsity. Its type I error rate was approximately 30% which implied fairly high chances of selecting over-fit models. On the other side,it had low under-fitting probabilities. The statistical power of QIC was established to be high hence rejecting any given false null hypothesis is essentially guaranteed for sufficiently large N even if the effect size is small. Mathematics Subject Classification: 62J12, 62F07, 62F15
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