摩洛哥的道路交通死亡率:统计数据分析

Abdelilah Mbarek, Mouna Jiber, Ali Yahyaouy, Abdelouahed Sabri
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在过去十年中,摩洛哥每年约有3500人死于交通事故。2008年至2017年间,交通事故数量增长了38.11%。有几个因素可能导致所谓的“道路战争”,比如司机的行为或车辆状况。由于人类行为并不总是交通事故的主要原因,在这项工作中,我们建议研究环境和道路状况对事故死亡率的影响。该研究基于2017年摩洛哥造成死亡或人身伤害的事故统计数据。病死率(CFR)指标用于衡量事故的严重程度,所涉及的技术是众所周知的非参数方差分析(ANOVA)。在描述基础设施的状况和道路的物理条件时,考虑了13个因素。分析结果表明,所研究的因素对事故死亡率有显著影响。更具体地说,交叉路口的类型和位置被证明是对事故死亡贡献更大的变量。
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Road traffic mortality in Morocco: Analysis of statistical data
Over the last decade, around 3500 people lost their lives in road accidents each year in Morocco. Between 2008 and 2017, the number of accidents has seen an increase of 38.11%. Several factors may contribute to the so-called “war on the roads”, such as the behavior of drivers or vehicle condition. Since human behavior is not always the leading cause of traffic crashes, in this work, we propose to study the effect of the environment and road conditions on accident mortality. The study is based on statistical data of accidents that caused death or bodily injuries in Morocco in 2017. The Case Fatality Rate (CFR) indicator was used to measure the severity of accidents, and the technique involved is the well-known non-parametric Analysis of Variance (ANOVA). Thirteen factors were taken into account to describe the state of the infrastructure and the physical conditions of roads. The analysis results show that the factors studied have a significant effect on accident fatality. More specifically, the type of intersection and the location proved to be the variables that contribute more to accident fatality.
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