全球银行危机对智利信贷市场的影响

C. Plambeck, Jillian Zirnhelt
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摘要

智利经济提供了一个极好的案例研究,通过它可以研究全球一体化金融市场的政策可取性问题。本文研究了2008年全球金融危机后,智利政府银行增加贷款是否对智利企业产生了积极的经济效应。我们还研究了智利银行负债的外国敞口是否改变了这些银行在此期间的贷款模式。我们发现,在金融危机后立即接受政府贷款的智利公司的销售效果是积极的。我们还发现,在外部流动性危机发生后,国际金融一体化不会通过对外风险敞口的渠道导致负面的国内后果。我们论文的一个显著特点是,我们知道智利只有一家政府银行可以贷款,因此我们能够将银行贷款数据与公司调查数据直接联系起来。因此,我们可以满怀信心地建议,利用外国金融市场作为促进发展中国家增长的工具,特别是在与审慎的反周期政府贷款政策相结合的情况下。
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The Effect of the Global Banking Crisis on Credit Markets in Chile
The Chilean economy presents an excellent case study through which to examine questions of the policy desirability of globally integrated financial markets. In this paper we study whether increased lending by the Chilean government bank created positive economic effects for Chilean firms after the global financial crisis of 2008. We also study whether foreign exposures of Chilean bank liabilities altered the lending patterns of those banks during this period. We find positive sales effects for Chilean firms who took a government loan in the immediate aftermath of the financial crisis. We also find that international financial integration does not result in negative domestic consequences transmitted through the channel of foreign exposure after an external liquidity crisis. A striking feature of our paper is the fact that, knowing there is only one government bank in Chile from which to borrow, we are able to link bank lending data directly with the firm survey data. We can thus with confidence recommend using foreign financial markets as a tool for growth for developing countries, particularly when combined with prudent counter-cyclical government lending policies.
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