实验数据的可复制性与经济理论的可信度

IF 16.4 1区 化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Accounts of Chemical Research Pub Date : 2018-01-17 DOI:10.1111/jere.12175
Michihiro Kandori
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引用次数: 3

摘要

找到一个支持理论的数据集是不足以使理论获得可信度的。一个理论的可信度只有在最初的支持性发现可以被许多后续研究重复之后才能建立起来。到目前为止,经济学很少关注可复制性,大概是因为这个行业对获得非平凡理论预测的高度可复制性过于悲观。通过使用我收集的涉及4000多个主题的大型数据集,我表明,通过实验室数据的复制,经济理论有希望获得可信度。
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Replicability of Experimental Data and Credibility of Economic Theory

Finding a data set that supports a theory is not enough for the theory to gain credibility. Credibility of a theory is established only after the initial supporting finding can be replicated by a number of follow-up studies. Economics so far has paid little attention to replicability, presumably because the profession has been overly pessimistic about obtaining a high degree of replicability of non-trivial theoretical predictions. By using a large data set I have collected that involves more than 4,000 subjects, I show that there is hope for economic theory to gain credibility by means of replications of laboratory data.

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来源期刊
Accounts of Chemical Research
Accounts of Chemical Research 化学-化学综合
CiteScore
31.40
自引率
1.10%
发文量
312
审稿时长
2 months
期刊介绍: Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance. Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.
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