实验数据的可复制性与经济理论的可信度

IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Japanese Economic Review Pub Date : 2018-01-17 DOI:10.1111/jere.12175
Michihiro Kandori
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引用次数: 3

摘要

找到一个支持理论的数据集是不足以使理论获得可信度的。一个理论的可信度只有在最初的支持性发现可以被许多后续研究重复之后才能建立起来。到目前为止,经济学很少关注可复制性,大概是因为这个行业对获得非平凡理论预测的高度可复制性过于悲观。通过使用我收集的涉及4000多个主题的大型数据集,我表明,通过实验室数据的复制,经济理论有希望获得可信度。
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Replicability of Experimental Data and Credibility of Economic Theory

Finding a data set that supports a theory is not enough for the theory to gain credibility. Credibility of a theory is established only after the initial supporting finding can be replicated by a number of follow-up studies. Economics so far has paid little attention to replicability, presumably because the profession has been overly pessimistic about obtaining a high degree of replicability of non-trivial theoretical predictions. By using a large data set I have collected that involves more than 4,000 subjects, I show that there is hope for economic theory to gain credibility by means of replications of laboratory data.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
15
期刊介绍: Started in 1950 by a group of leading Japanese economists under the title The Economic Studies Quarterly, the journal became the official publication of the Japanese Economic Association in 1959. As its successor, The Japanese Economic Review has become the Japanese counterpart of The American Economic Review, publishing substantial economic analysis of the highest quality across the whole field of economics from researchers both within and outside Japan. It also welcomes innovative and thought-provoking contributions with strong relevance to real economic issues, whether political, theoretical or policy-oriented.
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