俄罗斯地区税收集聚作为区域分类工具:数字经济的驱动因素

N. Victorova, E. Vylkova, V. Naumov, N. Pokrovskaia
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摘要

这篇论文致力于从税收对其发展的影响的角度来诊断领土问题。这项研究传达的信息是,地区之间为了拥有税基而展开的竞争。这项研究的目的是通过一套反映税收状况、税收管理和税收政策的指标将区域分组成集群。作者选择了2018年的官方统计数据,并利用这些数据计算了14个指标。最初,这项研究涵盖了84个俄罗斯联邦组成实体。然而,由于数据异常,五个俄罗斯联邦组成实体被排除在调查之外:莫斯科、塞瓦斯托波尔、印古什、汉特-曼西和亚马尔-涅涅茨自治区。采用SPSS、Rstudio、Anaconda Navigator等软件进行聚类分析。分析结果突出了三个区域集群:1)功能比例最小(7个地区),2)中等功能比例(50个地区),3)多样化最成功(22个地区)。通过数字指标发现,第三集群的领导者是秋明地区,摩尔曼斯克地区,鞑靼斯坦共和国,列宁格勒地区。这些地区在数字技术的可及性、互联网的使用和数字能力的传播方面获得了很高的评价。本文建议将区域税收集聚作为制定地方税收政策的一种手段。本研究具有以下发展前景:1)在聚类分析中加入税收环境规范的非典型指标,充分反映了杂项外部因素对区域税收状况的影响。2)外推结果,以评估其他国家领土的税收状况。3)利用人工智能技术改进税收聚类方法的必要性。
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Tax Clustering of Russian Regions as an Instrument to Classify Territories: Drivers in Digital Economy
The paper is devoted to issues of diagnosing territories in terms of the effect that taxes are made on their development. The message of the research is competition that occurs between territories to possess a tax base. The purpose of the research is related to grouping regions into clusters by a set of indicators, which reflect tax status, tax administration and tax policy. The authors selected the official statistics of 2018, and using these data they calculated 14 indicators. Initially, the research covered 84 Russia's federal constituent entities. However, five Russia's federal constituent entities were excluded from the survey due to their abnormal data: Moscow, Sevastopol, Ingushetia, Khanty-Mansi and Yamalo-Nenets autonomous areas. The cluster analysis is conducted using the software SPSS, Rstudio, Anaconda Navigator. The analysis resulted into highlighting three regional clusters: 1) least functionally proportional (7 regions), 2) medium functionally proportional (50 regions), 3) diversely most successful (22 regions). It is found out that the leaders of the third cluster by digital indicators are Tyumen region, Murmansk region, Republic of Tatarstan, Leningrad region. These regions are highly rated by accessibility of digital technologies, internet usage and dissemination of digital competences. The authors of this paper suggest considering tax clustering of regions as an instrument to establish the tax policy at the sub-federal level. The given research has the following promising areas to develop.1) Adding non-typical indicators for specification of tax environment to the cluster analysis, which fully reflect the influence of miscellaneous external factors on regions' tax status. 2) Extrapolating results to assessment of the tax status for territories of other states. 3) Necessity to improve the method of tax clustering using the technology of artificial intelligence.
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