金融危机时期基于商品市场的股票市场风险对冲:以原油和黄金为例

J. Junttila, J. Pesonen, J. Raatikainen
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引用次数: 173

摘要

基于1989年至2016年的每日数据,我们发现黄金和石油市场期货与美国总市场股票回报之间的相关性,特别是能源板块股票在股市危机期间发生了强烈变化。在危机时期,原油期货与美国总股票之间的相关性增加,而黄金期货则变为负相关,这支持了黄金的避险假设。此外,对于美国能源板块股票,我们的研究结果支持使用黄金期货进行交叉对冲,尤其是在股市危机期间。
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Commodity Market Based Hedging against Stock Market Risk in Times of Financial Crisis: The Case of Crude Oil and Gold
Based on daily data from 1989 to 2016 we find that the correlations between gold and oil market futures and equity returns in the aggregate US market, and specifically in the energy sector stocks have changed strongly during the stock market crisis periods. The correlation between crude oil futures and aggregate US equities increases in crisis periods, whereas in case of gold futures the correlation becomes negative, which supports the safe haven hypothesis of gold. Also for the US energy sector equities our results support using gold futures for cross-hedging especially during the stock market crises.
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