北极盆地淡水含量变化、海冰减少和北极变暖

G. Alekseev, A. V. Smirnov, A. Pnyushkov, A. Vyazilova, M. Kulakov, N. Glok, N. Kharlanenkova
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摘要

本文研究了北极盆地的全球气候变化。研究了北极盆地100 m层淡水含量和流入的变化,确定了不同年代(1950年代- 2010年代)的变化。使用了20世纪50年代至70年代对北极盆地的国家考察调查数据,以及20世纪80年代至2010年代的考察数据。结果表明,20世纪90年代至21世纪初,欧亚大陆地区的淡水含量呈下降趋势,而北极盆地美亚混血儿地区的淡水含量呈上升趋势。尽管降水、河流径流和海冰融化增加,但自20世纪90年代以来大西洋流入增加和北冰洋上层100 m层盐碱化导致了FWC的减少。北大西洋热带对北极盆地水域结构的气候变化、海冰覆盖减少和北极变暖的影响(延迟2-3年)已得到证实。采用多维相关分析方法,计算光谱和相干,构建相关图。
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Changes in Freshwater Content in the Arctic Basin, Sea Ice Cover Reduction and Warming in the Arctic
The paper deals with global changes in regime and climate of Arctic basin. Changes in the content and inflows of freshwater into the upper 100 m layer of the Arctic basin from decade to decade (1950s – 2010s) were determined. Data from national expedition surveys of the Arctic Basin in the 1950s to the 1970s combined with data from expe- ditions in the 1980s to the 2010s were used. The results obtained showed that freshwater content (FWC) decreased in the Eurasian and increased in the Amerasian part of the Arctic basin in the 1990s – 2000s. The decrease in the FWC occurred in the result of increased Atlantic water inflow since the 1990s and the salinization of the upper 100 m layer of Arctic Ocean, despite increased precipitation, river runoff and sea ice melt. The influence from the tropics of the North Atlantic on climatic changes in the structure of Arctic basin waters, on the reduction of the sea ice cover and warming in the Arctic with a delay of 2-3 years was established. Methods of multidimensional correlation analysis, calculation of spectra and coherences, and construction of correlation graphs were used.
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