用于海上作业的通用决策支持体系结构

R. Grasso, M. Cococcioni, M. Rixen, C. Trees, A. Baldacci
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引用次数: 9

摘要

本文描述了一种支持海上作战的通用决策支持体系结构(DSA)。该系统的核心是一个决策支持工具(DST),由一个风险评估框架组成,旨在计算与正在考虑的海上作业中可以执行的每个行动相关的风险。特别是,根据它们的后验概率,计算每个动作和描述预测环境条件(有利、边际和不利)的每个类别的风险。从影响运行的环境变量的预测出发,使用模糊分类器来估计这些概率。实现的DSA的一个显著特点是它的灵活性:可以处理许多不同类型的操作(两栖登陆,自主水下航行器(AUV)回收等),而无需更改架构。该架构已经在合成数据和真实数据上进行了测试,后者是在亚得里亚海和利古里亚海进行的两次巡航中收集的。
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A generic decision support architecture for maritime operations
This paper describes a generic decision support architecture (DSA) for supporting maritime operations. The system's core is a decision support tool (DST), consisting of a risk assessment framework aimed at computing risks related to each action that can be performed on the maritime operation under consideration. In particular, the risks are computed for each action and for each class describing the forecasted condition of the environment (favourable, marginal, and unfavourable), according to their posterior probabilities. A fuzzy classifier is used to estimate such probabilities, starting from the forecast of the environmental variables affecting the operation. A distinctive feature of the implemented DSA is its flexibility: many different types of operations can be handled (amphibious landing, autonomous underwater vehicle (AUV) recovery, etc.) with no architectural change. The architecture has been tested both on synthetic data and on real data, the latter collected during two cruises carried out in Adriatic Sea and Ligurian Sea.
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