农业科技向农民扩散的模拟研究

Li Ma, Xialing Chu, Xiu-jie Huang, Rui-quan Xiong, Huan-huan Li, Qun Lin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

为了解决中国农民经济实力弱、技术接受能力低、农业科技传播效率低等问题,对农业科技在农民中的传播进行了模拟分析。运用复杂网络理论和Net标志软件,对农业科技传播过程进行了模拟。结果表明,“网络密度”和“传播者”越高,农业科技扩散越快,“探索者”和“强度”越大,农业科技扩散越快,但当“探索者”数量和“强度”达到一定水平时,农业科技扩散进入平台阶段,“成本”越大,“收益”越小;技术势能差越大,农业科技全覆盖所消耗的时间越多,“环境”因素对技术扩散不敏感。利用复杂网络理论和方法建立农业科技扩散模型并进行仿真,可为农业科技扩散系统和扩散方法的改进提供参考。
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Simulation Research on Diffusion of Agricultural Science and Technology for Peasant
In order to solve the problems like Chinese farmers' weak economic strength, low ability for receiving technology, and low efficiency of agricultural science and technology diffusion, the diffusion of agricultural science and technology among farmers is simulated and analyzed. By using the complex network theory and Net logo software, the spread of agricultural science and technology is simulated. Results show that the higher the "network-density" and "disseminator" are, the faster the agricultural science and technology diffuses, the more the "explorer" and "intensity" are, the faster the agricultural science and technology diffuses, however when the number of "explorer" and "intensity" reache a certain level, agricultural science and technology diffusion enters a platform stage, and the bigger the "cost" is, the smaller the "revenue" is, the larger the technical potential difference is, the more the time full coverage of agricultural science and technology consumes, The "environment" factor is not sensitive to the technology diffusion. Agricultural science and technology diffusion model and simulation established by using the theory and method of complex network, can provide a reference for the improvement of agricultural technology diffusion system and diffusion method.
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