利用房源信息预测潜在租客的问询

Takeshi So, Y. Arai
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在本研究中,我们使用多种统计方法,根据房屋的属性推断出潜在租户对可出租房屋的查询数量的预测准确性,并对结果进行了比较。本研究的目的是将这些结果作为案例研究来展示。基于经典逻辑回归、随机森林和XGBoost三种方法推导的结果计算混淆矩阵,并验证了预测的准确性。结果表明,XGBoost的准确率最高,其次是logistic回归。有时需要使用逻辑回归,因为从应用到业务的角度来看,逻辑回归易于解释,因为统计方法之间的准确性差异并不显著。因此,在商业中重要的是要考虑到准确性、解释的便利性和研究结构,并选择最合适的统计方法。
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Predicting inquiry from potential renters using property listing information
In this study, we deduced how accurate the number of inquiries from potential tenants for housing available for rent can be predicted based on the attributes of the housing, using multiple statistical methods, and compared the results. The purpose of this study is to show these results as case studies. Confusion matrices were calculated based on the results deduced with three methods – the classical logistic regression, RandomForest, and XGBoost – and prediction accuracies were verified. The results showed that the accuracy of XGBoost was the highest, followed by that of logistic regression. It is sometimes desirable to use logistic regression, which is easy to interpret from the perspective of application to business, because the differences in accuracy among the statistical methods are not significant. It is thus important in business to take into account the accuracy, ease of interpretation, and research structure and select the most appropriate statistical method.
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