财务杠杆对偿债能力的影响:来自印尼航运上市公司的证据

Danu Ade Setiawan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

与其在世界上最大的群岛国家的潜力相比,印尼航运业的状况并不理想,其行业的全国增长低于整体行业增长,行业不良贷款率高于国家不良贷款率。这种情况是由于航运业具有较高的经营不确定性,其负债结构以银行和其他金融机构的长期债务为主。本研究考察了财务杠杆变量对债务偿还能力变量的关系,具体到银行和其他金融机构。研究对象为在印尼证券交易所上市的航运公司,样本数量为12家。本研究使用的是选定样本中2014 - 2015年期间的合并财务报表。根据文献综述,公司杠杆的变量用负债权益比(DER)来表示。在偿债能力变量上,运用德尔菲法这一定性研究方法来确定变量所代表的比例。因此,偿债能力变量用债务证券覆盖率(debt Security Coverage Ratio, DSCR)表示。本研究采用的统计方法是相关分析。相关分析是衡量以DER为代表的财务杠杆和以DSCR为代表的偿债能力这两个变量之间关系的一组技术。结果表明,以DER为代表的财务杠杆与以DSCR为代表的偿债能力之间存在负相关关系。但当Pearson相关系数绝对值小于0.5或DER对DSCR的影响不显著时,认为两者之间的相关性较弱。
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THE EFFECT OF FINANCIAL LEVERAGE ON DEBT REPAYMENT CAPACITY : EVIDENCE FROM LISTED SHIPPING COMPANY IN INDONESIA
Contrast with its potentiality in the largest Archipelago country on the world, shipping industry in Indonesia show unsatisfactory condition whereas its industry’s national growth is below the overall industries growth and industry’s non-performing loan (NPL) rate is higher than national NPL. This condition is caused by the nature of the shipping industry with a high level of business uncertainty and their liability’s structure are dominated by banks and other financial institutions’ long-term debts. This research examines the relationship between financial leverage variable on the debt repayment capacity variable specifically to the banks and other financial institutions. The research population is shipping companies listed in Indonesia stock exchange with a number of samples is 12 companies. The consolidated financial statements in the period between 2014 and 2015 from the selected sample are used in this research. Based on literature review, the variable of company’s leverage is represented by a debt-equity ratio (DER). On the debt repayment capacity variable, the qualitative research method that is Delphi method is applied to define the ratio represented the variable. As the result, the debt repayment capacity variable is represented by Debt Security Coverage Ratio (DSCR). The statistical method that is used in this research is correlation analysis. Correlation analysis is a group of techniques to measure the relationship between two variables that are financial leverage represented by DER and debt repayment capacity represented by DSCR. The result shows that there is a negative correlation between financial leverage that is represented by DER and debt repayment capacity that is represented by DSCR. However, the correlation between them is considered weak with Pearson correlation coefficient less than 0,5 in absolute value or the influence of DER to the DSCR is insignificant.
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