{"title":"内源性连续回归概率模型的矩估计","authors":"Daiji Kawaguchi, Yukitoshi Matsushita, Hisahiro Naito","doi":"10.1111/jere.12091","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>We propose a generalized method of moments (GMM) estimator with optimal instruments for a probit model that includes a continuous endogenous regressor. This GMM estimator incorporates the probit error and the heteroscedasticity of the error term in the first-stage equation in order to construct the optimal instruments. The estimator estimates the structural equation and the first-stage equation jointly and, based on this joint moment condition, is efficient within the class of GMM estimators. To estimate the heteroscedasticity of the error term of the first-stage equation, we use the <i>k</i>-nearest neighbour (<i>k</i>-nn) non-parametric estimation procedure. Our Monte Carlo simulation shows that in the presence of heteroscedasticity and endogeneity, our GMM estimator outperforms the two-stage conditional maximum likelihood estimator. Our results suggest that in the presence of heteroscedasticity in the first-stage equation, the proposed GMM estimator with optimal instruments is a useful option for researchers.</p>","PeriodicalId":45642,"journal":{"name":"Japanese Economic Review","volume":"68 1","pages":"48-62"},"PeriodicalIF":1.5000,"publicationDate":"2016-05-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/jere.12091","citationCount":"3","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Moment Estimation of the Probit Model with an Endogenous Continuous Regressor\",\"authors\":\"Daiji Kawaguchi, Yukitoshi Matsushita, Hisahiro Naito\",\"doi\":\"10.1111/jere.12091\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>We propose a generalized method of moments (GMM) estimator with optimal instruments for a probit model that includes a continuous endogenous regressor. This GMM estimator incorporates the probit error and the heteroscedasticity of the error term in the first-stage equation in order to construct the optimal instruments. The estimator estimates the structural equation and the first-stage equation jointly and, based on this joint moment condition, is efficient within the class of GMM estimators. To estimate the heteroscedasticity of the error term of the first-stage equation, we use the <i>k</i>-nearest neighbour (<i>k</i>-nn) non-parametric estimation procedure. Our Monte Carlo simulation shows that in the presence of heteroscedasticity and endogeneity, our GMM estimator outperforms the two-stage conditional maximum likelihood estimator. Our results suggest that in the presence of heteroscedasticity in the first-stage equation, the proposed GMM estimator with optimal instruments is a useful option for researchers.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":45642,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Japanese Economic Review\",\"volume\":\"68 1\",\"pages\":\"48-62\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.5000,\"publicationDate\":\"2016-05-18\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/jere.12091\",\"citationCount\":\"3\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Japanese Economic Review\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/jere.12091\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Japanese Economic Review","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/jere.12091","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Moment Estimation of the Probit Model with an Endogenous Continuous Regressor
We propose a generalized method of moments (GMM) estimator with optimal instruments for a probit model that includes a continuous endogenous regressor. This GMM estimator incorporates the probit error and the heteroscedasticity of the error term in the first-stage equation in order to construct the optimal instruments. The estimator estimates the structural equation and the first-stage equation jointly and, based on this joint moment condition, is efficient within the class of GMM estimators. To estimate the heteroscedasticity of the error term of the first-stage equation, we use the k-nearest neighbour (k-nn) non-parametric estimation procedure. Our Monte Carlo simulation shows that in the presence of heteroscedasticity and endogeneity, our GMM estimator outperforms the two-stage conditional maximum likelihood estimator. Our results suggest that in the presence of heteroscedasticity in the first-stage equation, the proposed GMM estimator with optimal instruments is a useful option for researchers.
期刊介绍:
Started in 1950 by a group of leading Japanese economists under the title The Economic Studies Quarterly, the journal became the official publication of the Japanese Economic Association in 1959. As its successor, The Japanese Economic Review has become the Japanese counterpart of The American Economic Review, publishing substantial economic analysis of the highest quality across the whole field of economics from researchers both within and outside Japan. It also welcomes innovative and thought-provoking contributions with strong relevance to real economic issues, whether political, theoretical or policy-oriented.